Africa RegionalPULSE: 15 JAN 2025
Geopolitical & Security Analysis Regional Report
Report Details
Initial Publish Date
Last Updated: 15 JAN 2025
Report Focus Location: Africa
Authors: BCA, FJ, GZ
Contributors: GSAT
GSAT Lead: MF
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Report Summary
This report analyses critical developments in Sub-Saharan Africa, focusing on security, political, and socio-economic dynamics. Sub-Saharan Africa faces escalating insecurity, political unrest, and mixed economic developments. In Chad, an attempted assault on the presidential complex was thwarted, underscoring the region’s vulnerability to targeted attacks. In Nigeria, security forces successfully repelled an extremist ambush, further highlighting the persistent threat of insurgency. Zimbabwe continues to contend with the dangerous legacy of landmines planted during its civil war, posing a serious risk to civilians. Meanwhile, Guinea is experiencing widespread protests due to delays in the promised democratic transition. Mozambique faces increasing political tension following the return of opposition leader Venancio Mondlane, which has fueled unrest across major cities.
Economically, Sub-Saharan Africa has seen notable economic developments, with both challenges and opportunities. South Sudan's economy stands to benefit from the resumption of oil operations by Dar Petroleum, following the lifting of a force majeure. Uganda’s accession to BRICS opens doors to emerging markets, increased foreign investments, and infrastructure development, positioning the country for future growth. However, Kenya’s Strategic Trade and Investment Partnership with the U.S. faces uncertainty, as delays in finalizing the agreement may impact future economic prospects.