Africa RegionalPULSE: 29 JAN 2025
Geopolitical & Security Analysis Regional Report
Report Details
Initial Publish Date
Last Updated: 29 JAN 2025
Report Focus Location: Africa
Authors: BCA, GZ
Contributors: GSAT
GSAT Lead: MF
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Report Summary
This report provides a comprehensive assessment of the current geopolitical, security, and economic landscape in Sub-Saharan Africa, highlighting key developments, challenges, and emerging trends shaping the region. The past two weeks have been marked by increased foreign military involvement, evolving domestic policies, economic reforms, and persistent security threats across multiple countries.
Security and geopolitical tensions remain at the forefront, with Russia expanding its military presence in Libya by reactivating the Maaten al Sarra base near Chad and Sudan. The Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) is currently experiencing heightened tensions and conflict due to the aggressive actions of the M23 rebel group. Political and governance shifts are also shaping regional dynamics. In Somalia, efforts to decentralize governance were highlighted during a high-level government visit to Jowhar, where discussions focused on enhancing security, reconciliation, and administrative reform. On the economic front, regional GDP is expected to accelerate to 3.7% in 2025, with the IMF revising its growth projection for Sub-Saharan Africa upward to 4.2%. Key contributors include Nigeria’s improving service sector and oil production, alongside South Africa’s stabilized electricity supply. The evolving dynamics of foreign involvement, domestic governance, and economic resilience will define Sub-Saharan Africa’s trajectory in 2025, shaping opportunities for sustainable growth, stability, and regional cooperation.
