Europe-Eurasia RegionalPULSE: 18 DEC 2024
Geopolitical & Security Analysis Report
Report Details
Initial Publish Date
Last Updated: 18 DEC 2024
Report Focus Location: Europe-Eurasia
Authors: ATG, MA
Contributors: GSAT
GSAT Lead: MF
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Report Summary
This report presents a thorough examination of the current geopolitical and security environment throughout Europe and Eurasia, with an emphasis on significant developments in Eastern Europe, the Western Balkans, and the Caucasus region.
In Germany and France, political instability has deepened following the collapse of both governments amid fiscal tensions and stalled economic growth. Germany’s early elections and France’s budget crisis add pressure to the European Union’s economic leadership. Meanwhile, in Ukraine, intensified Russian strikes on energy infrastructure have worsened humanitarian conditions, while Ukraine’s counteroffensives and U.S. military aid signal continued high-intensity conflict.
The Balkans remain a region of concern, with Serbia witnessing prolonged protests following a deadly infrastructure collapse, and Kosovo advancing efforts to safeguard critical infrastructure amid security threats. Romania’s unprecedented election annulment and political controversies underscore increasing vulnerabilities to external influence, particularly from Russia.
Across the broader region, NATO and EU leaders stress the urgency of increased defense spending to match Russia’s long-term military preparedness. Russia’s expanded sanctions and new defense budget underscore its strategic focus on sustaining the conflict. Meanwhile, economic uncertainties persist, as the European Central Bank cautions about potential fallout from U.S. trade policies under President-elect Donald Trump.