Report Details
Initial Publish Date
Last Updated: 11 DEC 2025
Report Focus Location: Europe- Eurasia
Authors: MF, GSAT
Contributors: GSAT
GSAT Lead: MF
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Executive Summary
This report examines the current geopolitical and security environment across Europe during a period defined by intensifying transatlantic friction, sustained Russian escalation, and accelerating democratic backsliding in Georgia.
Transatlantic Relations
The Trump administration's December 4 National Security Strategy characterizes Europe as facing "civilizational erasure" and seeks to "cultivate resistance to Europe's current trajectory," drawing sharp criticism from EU Council President Costa and German officials while receiving Kremlin endorsement.
Pentagon officials indicated the US may cease NATO participation by 2027 if European defense contributions remain insufficient, placing renewed pressure on the June 2025 Hague Summit commitment to 5% GDP spending by 2035.
Ukraine Conflict Dynamics
Russia launched one of the war's largest aerial assaults on December 6, deploying 653 drones and 51 missiles against energy infrastructure across eight regions, temporarily severing power to Zaporizhzhia nuclear plant.
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GSAT (Geopolitical and Security Analysis Team) is Riley Sentinel's collective byline for team contributions or analysts requiring profile management due to sensitive work. All contributors are vetted by Riley Risk senior staff.
