GlobalPULSE: 02 JUN 2025

Geopolitical & Security Analysis Global Report

GlobalPULSE: 02 JUN 2025

Report Details

Initial Publish Date 
Last Updated: 02 JUN 2025
Report Focus Location: Global
Authors: AA, AGC, BA, DP, GZ, MA, SO, ZR
Contributors: GSAT
Lead Analyst: DA
GSAT Lead: MF

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Report Summary

This weekly report provides a comprehensive analysis of critical events, emerging threats, and significant developments across our global watchlist countries. Our Geopolitical & Security Analysis Teams continuously monitor and assess incidents affecting regional stability, security, and business operations.

Key Global Concerns:

  • Middle East on Edge: Tensions escalate as Trump urges Netanyahu to delay a strike on Iran amid nuclear negotiations. Israel intensifies strikes in Lebanon and Yemen while authorizing settlement expansions in the West Bank.
  • Geopolitical Rifts in Europe: Poland’s nationalist presidential win is expected to stall EU-aligned reforms, while Serbia faces rare public accusations from Russia over arms transfers to Ukraine.
  • Energy and Infrastructure as Strategic Tools: Brazil launches a $1.76B investment in its Northeast, while Peru seeks trilateral coordination with Brazil and China to advance the Bi-Oceanic Railway Corridor.
  • Security Volatility in the Americas: Armed gangs seized a customs post in Haiti, prompting Dominican troop deployments. Colombia’s oil infrastructure was targeted in a suspected militant attack.
  • Human Rights and Governance under Scrutiny: Argentina’s leaked intelligence plan raises alarm over internal surveillance, and Honduras sees the opening of a UN human rights field office amid chronic instability.
  • Asia’s Drone Arms Race Expands: India and Pakistan’s large-scale drone clashes signal a regional shift toward unmanned warfare, as both nations scale up UAV investment and partnerships.
  • Sub-Saharan Security Flashpoints: Islamist violence resurges in Mozambique, Somalia’s counterterror capacity declines, and Libya faces renewed militia clashes threatening oil operations.
  • Global Economic Pressures Mount: Venezuela’s oil output may drop sharply after U.S. license expirations; Guatemala and the Dominican Republic face critical trade and remittance risks tied to U.S. policy shifts.
  • Institutional Strain vs. EU Aspirations: Moldova, Albania, and Romania reaffirm their EU paths, while Montenegro and Kosovo face political and economic hurdles that could derail accession goals.