Report Summary

This weekly report provides a comprehensive analysis of critical events, emerging threats, and significant developments across our global watchlist countries. Our Geopolitical & Security Analysis Teams continuously monitor and assess incidents affecting regional stability, security, and business operations.

Key Global Concerns:

• U.S.–China Trade Frictions Deepen: Mexico considers tariffs on Chinese imports under “Plan Mexico” amid escalating U.S. pressures, highlighting shifting trade dynamics with cross-border implications.
• Middle East Tensions Escalate: A Houthi drone strike on Israel’s Ramon Airport injured one and briefly closed airspace, following Israeli strikes in Sanaa that killed the Houthi PM, increasing regional volatility.
• Taiwan Strait Security Risks: Taiwan detected 27 PLA aircraft and 7 PLAN vessels near its territory on Sept 8, with 14 aircraft crossing the median line, signaling rising Chinese military activity.
• Iran Confronts Renewed Pressure: European nations move to trigger the JCPOA snapback mechanism; Iran threatens potential withdrawal from the NPT, raising nuclear proliferation concerns.
• Colombia’s Security Crisis Worsens: Escalating attacks involving ELN, FARC dissidents, and Comandos de Frontera mark Colombia’s worst security crisis in a decade, impacting regional stability.
• Haiti’s Humanitarian Collapse Deepens: Gang control leaves 1.3M displaced and 3,000 killed in 2025, with stalled UN-backed security efforts worsening the crisis and threatening regional migration flows.
• Pakistan Flood Emergency: Devastating floods in Punjab displaced over 500,000 people and affected 3,900 villages, overwhelming response capabilities and disrupting regional trade corridors.
• Afghanistan Earthquake Impact: A third quake struck southeastern Afghanistan on Sept 4; the death toll from the first reached 1,368 with 2,180 injured, straining disaster response capacity.
• Energy & Trade Realignments: Brazil’s new fiscal rule, El Salvador’s gold acquisition, and Sri Lanka’s reciprocal tariff talks with the U.S. highlight shifting economic strategies amid global uncertainty.
• Rising Red Sea Risks: Undersea cable cuts disrupted internet across Asia and the Gulf; officials link the incident to Houthi activity amid broader Gaza-related tensions, posing supply chain vulnerabilities.