GlobalPULSE: 10 MAR 2025

Report Summary

This weekly report provides a comprehensive analysis of critical events, emerging threats, and significant developments across our global watchlist countries. Our Geopolitical & Security Analysis Teams continuously monitor and assess incidents affecting regional stability, security, and business operations.

Key Global Concerns:

• Escalation of U.S.-Ukraine tensions following President Trump’s decision to halt military aid and intelligence sharing, forcing European allies to reassess defense autonomy.
• Growing transnational security risks in Latin America, with increased military deployments in Guatemala and Mexico’s extradition of cartel leaders to the U.S., highlighting cross-border crime concerns.
• Rising humanitarian crises in Haiti, Yemen, and Bangladesh, exacerbated by gang violence, food shortages, and natural disasters, prompting urgent international responses.
• Deepening economic instability in Venezuela and Argentina, as U.S. sanctions on Chevron and IMF negotiations intensify financial pressures in both countries.
• Increasing maritime and energy security concerns, with Iran’s strategic use of small oil tankers to evade U.S. sanctions and heightened geopolitical risks near the Red Sea and Gulf of Guinea.
• Expanding cyber and digital security threats, as Albania’s TikTok ban and Russia’s information warfare in Georgia highlight growing state-backed cyber influence campaigns.
• Continued instability in the Middle East, with Hamas rejecting Israel’s ceasefire conditions, Lebanon reporting increased cross-border military activity, and Syria facing renewed pro-Assad insurgencies.
• Political volatility in Europe and the Balkans, with Serbia’s government facing mass protests, Bosnia’s Republika Srpska escalating legal confrontations, and Moldova increasing EU defense alignment.
• Geopolitical tensions in Asia-Pacific, with Afghanistan-Pakistan border clashes, Myanmar’s nuclear agreement with Russia, and the Philippines reinforcing its security alliances against China’s maritime actions.
• Climate-related disasters and energy concerns, as Cyclone Alfred threatens Australia, severe heatwaves impact India, and Tanzania pushes for domestic energy independence.

In the Middle East and North Africa, the rejection of Egypt’s Gaza reconstruction plan by the U.S. and Israel adds further uncertainty to ceasefire negotiations. Meanwhile, in Europe and Eurasia, Ukraine’s worsening battlefield position amid reduced U.S. support is fueling uncertainty, while Russia intensifies military operations and cyber influence campaigns.

In the Americas, security and economic tensions are on the rise. The Dominican Republic’s designation of Haitian gangs as terrorist organizations marks a significant shift in regional counterterrorism policy. Somalia is raising security concerns in Sub-Saharan Africa, however, countries such as Cameroon, Mozambique, Nigeria, and Tanzania are strengthening their economic positions through strategic investments. In Asia-Pacific, geopolitical risks are mounting, with Myanmar’s military government securing nuclear cooperation from Russia and China continuing to assert dominance in regional waters.