GlobalPULSE: 12 MAY 2025
Geopolitical & Security Analysis Global Report
Report Details
Initial Publish Date
Last Updated: 12 MAY 2025
Report Focus Location: Global
Authors: AA, ATG, BA, DP, GZ, MA, SO, ZR
Contributors: GSAT
Lead Analyst: DA
GSAT Lead: MF
RileySENTINEL provides timely intelligence and in-depth analysis for complex environments. Our global team blends international reach with local expertise, offering unique insights to navigate challenging operations. For custom insights or urgent consultations, contact us here.
Report Summary
This weekly report provides a comprehensive analysis of critical events, emerging threats, and significant developments across our global watchlist countries. Our Geopolitical & Security Analysis Teams continuously monitor and assess incidents affecting regional stability, security, and business operations.
Key Global Concerns:
- Escalating Indo-Pakistani Conflict: After Operation Sindoor was launched by India on May 7, both India and Pakistan traded strikes, resulting in a short-lived ceasefire and renewed explosions in Kashmir, posing major regional stability risks.
- Israel Approves Full Gaza Seizure Plan: Israel's cabinet approved a sweeping strategy to take full control of Gaza, prompting accusations of ethnic cleansing and halting humanitarian aid distribution, further deepening the Gaza crisis.
- Ukraine-Russia Ceasefire Breakdown: Despite Russia’s unilateral three-day ceasefire for Victory Day, Ukraine reported continued strikes in Sumy. Western skepticism remains high, amid parallel U.S.-Ukraine mineral agreements reinforcing economic ties.
- Cartel Violence in Mexico & Peru Mining Crisis: Narco-blockades continued for a third day in Sinaloa, while Peru imposed curfews and military deployments following the killing of 13 miners, raising concerns over state control and extractive sector stability.
- Venezuela-Russia Strategic Pact: Venezuela signed a wide-ranging cooperation agreement with Russia, signaling deeper geopolitical realignment amid rising tensions with the U.S.
- Myanmar Ceasefire Doubts Amid Strikes: Despite extending its ceasefire for post-earthquake recovery, Myanmar’s junta launched new airstrikes, undermining humanitarian access and truce credibility.
- U.S.-Houthi Ceasefire, Israel Retaliates: Washington ended its bombing campaign following Houthi pledges to halt Red Sea attacks. However, Houthis struck Israel’s airport, prompting retaliatory Israeli airstrikes on Sanaa and Hodeidah.
- Guinea Revokes Major Mining License: Guinea’s decision to cancel Emirates Global Aluminium’s license escalates regulatory uncertainty and investor risk in the bauxite sector.
- Bangladesh Bans Hasina’s Party: The interim government banned the Awami League under terrorism laws, capping weeks of unrest and triggering new political instability in South Asia.
- Sub-Saharan Food Insecurity Worsens: In South Sudan, armed conflict blocked humanitarian aid for over 60,000 malnourished children, underscoring growing humanitarian crises in the Horn of Africa.
