GlobalPULSE: 16 JUN 2025
Geopolitical & Security Analysis Global Report
Report Details
Initial Publish Date
Last Updated: 16 JUN 2025
Report Focus Location: Global
Authors: AA, AGC, BA, DP, GZ, MA, MAM, SO, ZR
Contributors: GSAT
Lead Analyst: DA
GSAT Lead: MF
RileySENTINEL provides timely intelligence and in-depth analysis for complex environments. Our global team blends international reach with local expertise, offering unique insights to navigate challenging operations. For custom insights or urgent consultations, contact us here.
Report Summary
This weekly report provides a comprehensive analysis of critical events, emerging threats, and significant developments across our global watchlist countries. Our Geopolitical & Security Analysis Teams continuously monitor and assess incidents affecting regional stability, security, and business operations.
Key Global Concerns:
- Israel–Iran Escalation: Israel launched preemptive strikes on Iran targeting nuclear and military leaders; Iran retaliated with drones and missiles. The exchange pushed global oil prices up 13% and raised fears of broader conflict in the Middle East.
- Resurgence of ISIS Activity: Intelligence reports confirm renewed ISIS operations in Iraq and Syria, including recruitment, weapons distribution, and cross-border planning, intensifying regional instability.
- Colombia Terror Wave: Nineteen coordinated bomb and drone attacks killed four and injured 12 in southwest Colombia, attributed to FARC dissidents—underscoring growing insurgent capabilities and state vulnerability.
- Sub-Saharan Security Deterioration: Nigeria, Somalia, and Uganda conducted major security operations, while South Sudan faces imminent famine, and Cameroon prepares for TPS termination in the U.S.—a combination of humanitarian, governance, and migration pressures.
- Asia-Pacific Strategic Shifts: Afghanistan and Uzbekistan signed a landmark trade agreement, while the U.S. launched a strategic review of AUKUS. Sri Lanka raised electricity prices under IMF pressure, showing the influence of international financial institutions on domestic reforms.
- Haiti’s Displacement Crisis: A record 1.3 million people have been internally displaced due to escalating gang violence—highlighting a deepening humanitarian crisis with limited state capacity and international reach.
- Geopolitical Realignments: Guatemala strengthened its strategic alignment with Japan, reinforcing Taiwan support and Indo-Pacific ties amid growing U.S.-China regional rivalry.
- Europe-Eurasia Defense Realignment: NATO warned of a potential Russian attack within five years, prompting urgent defense investment calls. Serbia's dual stance—supporting Ukraine but rejecting sanctions—reflects persistent ambiguity in Balkan geopolitics.
