GlobalPULSE: 21 JUL 2025
Geopolitical & Security Analysis Global Report
Report Details
Initial Publish Date
Last Updated: 21 JUL 2025
Report Focus Location: Global
Authors: AA, AGC, BA, DP, FZ, MA, MAM, SO, ZR
Contributors: GSAT
Lead Analyst: DA
GSAT Lead: MF
RileySENTINEL provides timely intelligence and in-depth analysis for complex environments. Our global team blends international reach with local expertise, offering unique insights to navigate challenging operations. For custom insights or urgent consultations, contact us here.
Report Summary
This weekly report provides a comprehensive analysis of critical events, emerging threats, and significant developments across our global watchlist countries. Our Geopolitical & Security Analysis Teams continuously monitor and assess incidents affecting regional stability, security, and business operations.
Key Global Concerns:
- Rising transnational crime in Latin America, with record maritime drug seizures in Guatemala and El Salvador highlighting security risks along Pacific smuggling routes.
- U.S. geopolitical assertiveness is reshaping regional dynamics, from backing Argentina’s legal appeal and Haiti’s TPS extension to sanctioning Mexican banks and clashing with Brazil’s judiciary.
- Public health and environmental emergencies in Bolivia and the Dominican Republic are disrupting education and tourism sectors, exacerbating governance burdens.
- Sovereignty and judicial tension in Europe, as Trump-backed Patriot missile transfers to Ukraine spark debate and EU sanctions on Russia face energy-related resistance from Slovakia.
- Strategic military realignments, including the UK-Germany defense treaty, Albania-Israel arms pact, and Romania’s Iron Dome acquisition, underscore Europe’s growing autonomy in defense.
- Escalating Israeli military actions in Gaza, Lebanon, and Syria, coupled with settlement expansion in the West Bank, threaten regional stability and derail normalization efforts.
- Iran’s nuclear talks near collapse, with an end-of-August deadline looming and regional actors preparing for potential sanctions reactivation.
- African instability persists, with military reshuffles in Cameroon, insurgent gains in Somalia and Mozambique, and rising urban violence in South Africa.
- Fragile democratic processes under threat, particularly in the Philippines, where AI-generated disinformation deepens political divisions ahead of 2025 elections.
- Asia-Pacific power competition intensifies, with Taiwan and Australia holding record defense drills, North Korea aligning closer with Russia, and Myanmar consolidating military control with Chinese backing.
- Return migration boosts economic recovery in Afghanistan, but strained humanitarian systems in Bangladesh and conflict in Kurdistan (Iraq) remain concerning for aid continuity and regional cooperation.
