Report Summary

This weekly report provides a comprehensive analysis of critical events, emerging threats, and significant developments across our global watchlist countries. Our Geopolitical & Security Analysis Teams continuously monitor and assess incidents affecting regional stability, security, and business operations.

Key Global Concerns:

• U.S.–Latin America Tensions: Washington escalates anti-narcotics operations with maritime strikes on Venezuelan vessels, deepening confrontation with Caracas, while revoking Colombia’s certification sparks a rupture in traditionally close ties.
• Central America’s Dual Strain: El Salvador and Guatemala suffer deadly climate-driven floods and landslides, underscoring infrastructure fragility, while Honduras grows more reliant on remittances that now make up over 25% of GDP.
• Caribbean Security Shifts: Haiti’s gang violence escalates with Kokorat San Ras’ rural assault, exposing state collapse; Dominican Republic and U.S. coordinate unprecedented counter-narcotics efforts, raising regional stakes.
• Europe & Eurasia under Russian Pressure: Moscow-backed disinformation and strikes on Ukraine strain EU resilience; accession talks progress in Albania and Bosnia, while Georgia and Romania face unrest tied to governance reforms.
• MENA Escalations: Israeli offensives span Gaza, Lebanon, and Yemen; Houthis extend drone reach to Israel. Saudi–Pakistan defense pact signals shifting alliances amid doubts over U.S. reliability.
• Africa’s Democratic Strains & Security Risks: Guinea’s referendum may entrench military rule, Cameroon’s election faces calls for opposition unity, and DRC’s M23 insurgency destabilizes eastern Congo.
• Asia-Pacific Flashpoints: U.S.–China–Philippines maritime tensions intensify after a vessel collision; Thailand–Cambodia border clashes leave dozens injured; PNG-Australia defense pact redefines Pacific security architecture.