Report Summary

This weekly report provides a comprehensive analysis of critical events, emerging threats, and significant developments across our global watchlist countries. Our Geopolitical & Security Analysis Teams continuously monitor and assess incidents affecting regional stability, security, and business operations.

Key Global Concerns:

• Environmental and Health Emergencies: Widespread wildfires in Bolivia trigger a national emergency with 720 hotspots threatening biodiversity, while India faces deadly floods killing 300+ and Bangladesh battles a severe dengue outbreak with 27,700+ cases.
• Rising Geopolitical Competition: China expands influence via resource integration and strategic partnerships — from Brazil’s 90% soybean supply dominance and Peru’s gold exports to a $1B investment proposal in Nauru, prompting Australia to fast-track a security treaty.
• Escalating Security Risks: Colombia suffers dual bomb attacks killing 18, while Venezuela deploys 4.5M militia amid U.S. naval presence. In Somalia, 100+ al-Shabaab militants were killed; Nigeria faces mosque attacks and IPOB clashes; and DRC reports 319 civilians killed by M23 rebels.
• Economic Realignments: Guinea’s mining-driven GDP expected to hit 6.5% in 2025; Ghana becomes the first African nation to export timber legally to the EU; Sri Lanka announces seven investment zones; and Indonesia seeks OECD/CPTPP accession with Australia’s backing.
• Domestic Political Volatility: Protests in Serbia, Tunisia, and Haiti highlight governance pressures, while Myanmar schedules elections amid credibility concerns and South Sudan faces heightened instability following VP Riek Machar’s arrest.
• Strategic Tech and Energy Shifts: U.S. talks of a 10% Intel stake deepen ties with Taiwan’s semiconductor sector, while Dominican Republic blackouts and delayed infrastructure highlight vulnerabilities in regional energy security.