GlobalPULSE: 30 JUN 2025
Geopolitical & Security Analysis Global Report
Report Details
Initial Publish Date
Last Updated: 30 JUN 2025
Report Focus Location: Global
Authors: AA, AGC, BA, DP, GZ, MA, MAM, SO, ZR
Contributors: GSAT
Lead Analyst: DA
GSAT Lead: MF
RileySENTINEL provides timely intelligence and in-depth analysis for complex environments. Our global team blends international reach with local expertise, offering unique insights to navigate challenging operations. For custom insights or urgent consultations, contact us here.
Report Summary
This weekly report provides a comprehensive analysis of critical events, emerging threats, and significant developments across our global watchlist countries. Our Geopolitical & Security Analysis Teams continuously monitor and assess incidents affecting regional stability, security, and business operations.
Key Global Concerns:
- Middle East ceasefire tensions persist amid conflicting reports on the status of Iran’s nuclear facilities and continued attacks by proxies like the Houthis, highlighting the fragility of the regional pause in hostilities.
- NATO’s strategic pivot toward increased defense spending (5% of GDP by 2035) and Poland’s withdrawal from the Ottawa Convention mark a shift toward intensified militarization in Europe.
- Latin America’s security landscape is increasingly shaped by militarized crackdowns, U.S. intelligence cooperation, and terrorism designations, particularly in El Salvador and the Dominican Republic.
- Migration pressure is rising, with the U.S. decision to end TPS for Haitians by 2026 raising humanitarian concerns, while countries like Honduras invest in reintegration and resilience for returnees.
- Authoritarian tendencies are spreading in Eastern Europe and Sub-Saharan Africa, with crackdowns on opposition in Georgia, Armenia, Guinea, and Uganda, threatening political pluralism.
- Climate and health shocks are converging, as Venezuela and Bolivia face flooding and disease outbreaks, exposing gaps in public health systems and emergency response.
- Resource-driven strategies are accelerating, from Peru’s push to restart Amazon oil production to Brazil and Nigeria’s billion-dollar agricultural cooperation.
- Asia’s regional volatility remains high, with rising India-China tension over terrorism designations, Myanmar’s junta promising elections, and increased defense spending in Pakistan.
- Cross-border economic interdependence is being tested in fragile areas, such as South Sudan–Sudan oil talks and infrastructure struggles in Ghana and South Africa.
- Digital and legal landscapes are shifting, with moves like Albania’s TikTok ban reversal and Indonesia’s contested military law suggesting friction between state control and civic freedoms.
