Sub-Saharan Africa RegionalPULSE
Political & Security Analysis Regional Report for the Sub-Saharan Africa Region
Report Details
Initial Publish Date
Last Updated: 23 DEC 2025
Report Focus Location: Africa (Sub-Saharan)
Authors: MF, RAST
Contributors: GSAT
GSAT Lead: MF
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Sentinel Brief
The final weeks of 2025 have crystallized a stark bifurcation in the Sub-Saharan African security and political landscape. While coastal democracies like Ghana and Senegal are consolidating governance gains and seeing economic indicators improve, with Ghana's inflation dropping to 6.3%, the Sahel and Great Lakes regions are entrenching into deeper instability.
The launch of the AES Joint Force on December 20 marks a formal institutionalization of the Sahelian military bloc, while M23's capture of Uvira represents a strategic escalation in the Great Lakes. Meanwhile, Sudan's El Fasher crisis has displaced over 107,000, and a mass shooting in South Africa highlights persistent violent crime linked to illegal mining.
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GSAT (Geopolitical and Security Analysis Team) is Riley Sentinel's collective byline for team contributions or analysts requiring profile management due to sensitive work. All contributors are vetted by Riley Risk senior staff.
Nathan Ackerman is Managing Director of Riley Risk, specializing in complex geopolitical threats. A published author in The Guardian, Devex, and IPSB with military and intelligence expertise, he founded RileySENTINEL for actionable security insights.
