GlobalPULSE: 24 MAR 2025

Report Summary

This weekly report provides a comprehensive analysis of critical events, emerging threats, and significant developments across our global watchlist countries. Our Geopolitical & Security Analysis Teams continuously monitor and assess incidents affecting regional stability, security, and business operations.

Key Global Concerns:

• Escalating civil unrest in Latin America, marked by mass protests in Argentina, Bolivia, and Guatemala, reflects deepening public dissatisfaction with austerity measures, fuel shortages, and controversial policies.
• Intensification of regional violence in Colombia, Mexico, and Peru illustrates persistent organized crime threats and declining public safety, with military deployments highlighting fragile state capacity.
• Heightened geopolitical tensions between the U.S. and Venezuela over deportation policies risk further regional polarization and economic retaliation.
• Russia-Ukraine conflict remains volatile, with limited ceasefires, expanded drone warfare, and growing Western involvement through proposed peacekeeping coalitions and defense industry investments.
• Political instability spreads in Europe and Eurasia, with an arrest warrant for Republika Srpska’s president, rising repression in Georgia, and potential early elections in Serbia following PM Vučević’s resignation.
• Israeli-Hamas ceasefire collapse fuels renewed hostilities, with direct missile exchanges and low prospects for truce renewal amid diverging positions on disarmament and prisoner releases.
• U.S. and allied strikes against Houthi targets in Yemen and growing Iranian proxy threats increase risks of regional spillover in the Middle East.
• Sub-Saharan Africa grapples with compounded insecurity and governance failures, from terrorist attacks in Somalia and Nigeria to looming civil conflict in South Sudan.
• Resource governance tensions emerge across Africa, including Ghana’s crackdown on illegal mining, Guinea’s contested Simandou project, and foreign investor frustration in Zimbabwe.
• Expanding humanitarian crises in Myanmar and Afghanistan, along with North Korea–Japan missile tensions and rising Chinese military activity near Taiwan, underline growing instability in the Asia-Pacific.

Protests and unrest have surged across Latin America in response to economic hardship and unpopular policies, while security crises deepen in Colombia and Mexico. In Europe and Eurasia, tensions persist over Ukraine, with limited ceasefire gains, regional defense buildups, and political instability in Bosnia and Serbia. The Middle East is again on edge as the Israel-Hamas ceasefire collapses and U.S. military action against Iran-backed groups intensifies. Sub-Saharan Africa faces overlapping governance, security, and development challenges, from South Sudan’s looming conflict to renewed terror activity in Somalia. In Asia-Pacific, new defense alignments, social unrest in Indonesia, and worsening humanitarian conditions in Myanmar and Afghanistan further reflect global instability and the rising demand for coordinated geopolitical and humanitarian responses.