Africa RegionalPULSE: 26 MAR 2025
Geopolitical & Security Analysis Regional Report
Report Details
Initial Publish Date
Last Updated: 26 MAR 2025
Report Focus Location: Africa
Authors: BCA, FJ, GZ
Contributors: GSAT
GSAT Lead: MF
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Report Summary
This report analyzes critical developments in Sub-Saharan Africa, focusing on security, political, and socio-economic dynamics. Insurgent groups continue to disrupt stability across the region. A roadside bomb near Mogadishu’s presidential palace in Somalia planted by Al-Shabaab, highlighted the group’s operational reach. In the Lake Chad Basin, the deployment of weaponized drones by the Islamic State West Africa Province (ISWAP) has escalated the threat level. Additionally, terrorist activities in Mozambique and a high-profile murder case in Kenya signal ongoing security concerns. The political scene remains volatile, with incidents exacerbating tensions. In Uganda, violent attacks on journalists during legislative by-elections in Kampala have heightened political unrest, while escalating conflicts in South Sudan have led to diplomatic measures such as the temporary closure of Germany’s embassy.
Amid these challenges, the region is witnessing notable economic progress. Guinea is set to launch the expansive Simandou iron ore project—a $20 billion initiative poised to transform the nation into a mining powerhouse and stimulate regional development. Coupled with improved financial conditions and easing inflation, Moody’s report projects Sub-Saharan Africa’s economy to grow by 4.2% in 2025, offering a promising outlook for stability and long-term investment despite ongoing challenges like public debt, climate change, and social unrest
