Asia-Pacific RegionalPULSE: 19 DEC 2024
Geoolitical & Security Analysis Regional Report
Report Details
Initial Publish Date
Last Updated: 19 DEC 2024
Report Focus Location: Asia-Pacific
Authors: AH, DP
Contributors: GSAT
GSAT Lead: MF
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Report Summary
This report presents a thorough examination of the current geopolitical and security environment of the Asia Pacific Region, with an emphasis on developments in Afghanistan, North Korea, Myanmar, Bangladesh, Sri Lanka, the Philippines, and Thailand.
Afghanistan remains a focal point, grappling with intensified insurgent attacks, particularly by the Islamic State Khorasan Province (ISKP), alongside economic stagnation exacerbated by sanctions and limited international support. Efforts to stabilize the economy through trade partnerships, including new freight links with China, offer modest relief. In the meantime, North Korea has escalated regional tensions with continued missile tests, illicit economic activities, and closer alignment with Russia. Recent sanctions imposed by the U.S. and its allies target North Korea’s financial networks and military funding sources, yet the country remains defiant.
Myanmar faces worsening violence as ethnic armed groups gain ground, particularly in Rakhine State, deepening the humanitarian crisis. The military junta’s restrictions on humanitarian access and crackdowns on dissent further destabilize the nation. In Bangladesh, political volatility has surged following the Awami League’s departure, with rising protests and strained relations with India. Governance challenges and electoral reforms remain critical to restoring stability.
Sri Lanka is showing tentative signs of economic recovery, driven by fiscal reforms, international financial support, and infrastructure partnerships with India. However, political divisions and natural disasters, including severe flooding, continue to disrupt progress. The Philippines contends with rising security challenges from South China Sea disputes and internal threats. Strategic defense cooperation with the U.S. strengthens its maritime posture, while environmental risks, such as the Kanlaon Volcano eruption, underscore the need for robust disaster preparedness.
In Thailand, political instability persists as public protests demand reforms, with incidents like the recent grenade explosion highlighting security gaps. Economic recovery hinges on tourism and export growth, tempered by ongoing political uncertainty. As the region grapples with these challenges, balancing security imperatives, fostering economic cooperation, and addressing humanitarian needs will be key to maintaining regional stability and progress.
