Global Summary

Iran reopened the Strait of Hormuz to commercial shipping on Friday afternoon in an explicit quid pro quo for the Israel–Lebanon ceasefire that took effect at midnight local time, sending Brent crude down more than 10% in a single session even as the ceasefire itself was violated within hours around Khiam. A US naval blockade of Iranian ports remains in force and Tehran has called it a ceasefire violation. President Trump told Bloomberg an end-of-war deal is "mostly complete" and that Iran has agreed to suspend its nuclear programme "indefinitely," a claim Iranian officials directly disputed to Reuters hours later. Russian forces launched 659 drones and 44 missiles at Ukraine overnight on 15–16 April, the largest combined attack of 2026, killing at least 13 civilians including a 12-year-old boy in Kyiv. Nigerian Air Force jets struck a weekly market at Jilli on 11 April, killing over 100 civilians according to Amnesty International, and prompted the Arewa Consultative Forum to declare the country in a "state of war." Macron and Starmer convened approximately 50 non-belligerent states in Paris to launch a separate Hormuz freedom-of-navigation coalition, while Kim Jong Un observed a third round of missile launches from the destroyer Choe Hyon as US assets continue to flow out of the Indo-Pacific.

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